Dorense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
DOR
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
DOR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 0
BOC
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 1
AMA
77%
13%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |