Apertura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Dorados vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
DOR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
TOR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
REB
5 - 0
DOR
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 2
DOR
51%
23%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
4 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
VER
66%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 2
DOR
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
REB
1 - 4
NEC
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |