Donaufeld vs Ostbahn XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAU
1 - 1
DON
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DON
3 - 3
SPO
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SCW
1 - 1
DON
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AUS
0 - 1
DON
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DON
4 - 2
SKS
74%
14%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
OST
1 - 0
AUS
20%
21%
58%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SKS
2 - 0
OST
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
OST
2 - 2
MAN
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
DON
1 - 0
OST
69%
18%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
OST
1 - 2
POS
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |