Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 3-1
Dom Bosco vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dom Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 2
LUV
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AAC
2 - 0
DBO
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
DBO
1 - 1
AAC
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LUV
3 - 1
DBO
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
DBO
3 - 1
CEC
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
REM
1 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
REM
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAC
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |