Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
2º
1º
8
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 49 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 47 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 39 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 24 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
52.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
40.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2025 |
NDP
0 - 6
DZG
3%
10%
87%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
NKV
2 - 2
DZG
28%
25%
46%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
DZG
3 - 0
IST
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
RIJ
0 - 2
DZG
38%
26%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
DZG
3 - 0
VUK
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2025 |
NKL
1 - 3
HNG
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
HNG
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2025 |
IST
1 - 0
HNG
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
VUK
2 - 2
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
LOK
1 - 3
HNG
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |