Dinamo Samarqand vs FC AGMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
6º
3º
37
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 60 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 55 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 54 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 49 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 35 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 35 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 28 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 27 |
15º
|
40.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
16% | 5.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
21% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Samarqand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2025 |
DSA
1 - 1
PAK
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
MAS
2 - 4
DSA
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
DSA
2 - 2
NAV
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
DSA
2 - 2
NAS
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
DSA
0 - 2
NEF
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC AGMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 0
QIZ
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2025 |
PAK
1 - 2
OLM
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
BUX
0 - 2
OLM
40%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
MAS
0 - 1
OLM
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
OLM
0 - 1
TER
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |