UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-0
Dinaburg vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 0
DIN
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
DIN
1 - 0
FCD
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
LIE
2 - 1
DIN
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2004 |
DIN
0 - 1
FCS
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
VEN
1 - 2
DIN
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
ABE
0 - 0
DIN
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
POR
1 - 3
ABE
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 1
HAV
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
ABE
28%
25%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |