Colts Devonshire vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colts Devonshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DEV
1 - 2
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
DEV
1 - 2
PHC
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
DEV
7 - 0
DEV
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DEV
2 - 2
IRE
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 2
DEV
67%
18%
14%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
6 - 1
SOM
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SOM
1 - 1
IRE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SOM
1 - 2
PHC
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
DEV
3 - 0
SOM
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BOU
3 - 0
SOM
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |