Desportivo Aves vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 2
VIT
23%
26%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
AVE
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 4
RIO
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 1
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
FAM
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAÇ
44%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BOA
33%
30%
38%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAÇ
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | -1 |