Aliança AL vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aliança AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
CEO
0 - 2
AAL
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 2
ASA
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
2 - 2
CSE
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CSE
1 - 0
JAC
47%
24%
30%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CEO
2 - 0
CSE
31%
26%
42%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
1 - 1
CSE
80%
15%
5%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |