Derthona vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
PDH
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
ART
0 - 2
DER
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AST
2 - 3
DER
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BOR
0 - 0
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DER
0 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ART
0 - 0
NOV
7%
16%
77%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
LIG
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
NOV
16%
21%
64%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |