Derthona vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACD
3 - 1
DER
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
DER
0 - 0
BIE
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
VAO
1 - 2
DER
59%
21%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DER
3 - 0
SET
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SES
2 - 0
DER
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
SCC
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CUN
0 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BIE
3 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAO
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | +1 |