Derry City vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
DRO
1 - 1
DER
27%
27%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
SHE
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 2
DER
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 2
STP
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DRO
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SLR
2 - 2
UCD
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
UCD
0 - 2
DER
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
UCD
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |