Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
BOH
0 - 2
DER
24%
24%
52%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
DER
2 - 1
BOH
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
BRW
2 - 3
DER
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 1
DER
20%
24%
55%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BLU
0 - 4
DER
5%
11%
84%
|
73 | 5 | 68 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
LIM
3 - 2
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 1
STP
26%
28%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
DRO
0 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FCP
0 - 4
DUN
8%
15%
78%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
SLR
0 - 1
DUN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |