Dereham Town vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
DER
3 - 2
BUR
45%
24%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 4
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAL
3 - 0
DER
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DER
1 - 2
BRE
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
YEL
3 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 2
YEL
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
YEL
3 - 0
CAN
45%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
YEL
1 - 5
MAL
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 4
YEL
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |