UEFA Youth League . 1/32
Global 6-2
Derby County Sub 19 vs ÍA Akranes Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
IAA
1 - 2
DER
48%
22%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
DER
7 - 2
FCM
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
FCM
0 - 2
DER
21%
20%
59%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
ÍA Akranes Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
IAA
1 - 2
DER
48%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
LEV
1 - 12
IAA
72%
15%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
IAA
4 - 0
LEV
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +4 |