Derby County Sub 18 vs Sunderland Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DER
2 - 0
WHU
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WOL
3 - 0
DER
30%
23%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MCI
2 - 1
DER
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 0
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
LIV
25%
21%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAN
16%
20%
63%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
56%
22%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 0
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 2
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |