Derby County vs Peterborough United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MID
4 - 1
DER
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
HUL
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
HUR
2 - 0
DER
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 1
DER
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
POS
0 - 0
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
POS
0 - 1
PNE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 0
POS
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
POS
2 - 0
QPR
27%
23%
50%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
POS
0 - 2
SHE
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |