Derby County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
DER
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1923 |
OLD
2 - 0
DER
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
DER
4 - 1
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
WHU
4 - 2
DER
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
0 - 1
DER
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1923 |
OLD
1 - 1
BPO
61%
25%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1923 |
OLD
2 - 0
DER
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
BPO
2 - 2
OLD
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
OLD
3 - 1
CAR
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |