Derby County vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SHE
3 - 1
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 1
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 2
DER
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
PNE
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
WOL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
HUL
4 - 0
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
DON
2 - 0
HUL
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
QPR
2 - 1
HUL
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HUL
2 - 3
WOL
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HUL
4 - 1
BUR
68%
21%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |