Derby County vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
DER
0 - 0
BBU
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
DER
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HUL
1 - 2
DER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
HUL
0 - 4
DER
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
IPS
1 - 1
BRE
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 0
WIG
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 1
NTT
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHE
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BBU
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |