Walter Ferretti vs Sport Sébaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
9º
5º
18
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ferretti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 0
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 0
JAP
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 0
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
WAL
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 1
DEP
57%
21%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Sébaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDS
3 - 3
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ORM
1 - 1
CDS
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 2
CDS
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DIR
3 - 0
CDS
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
DIR
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |