Dep. Santamarina vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
40.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
RSA
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 1
MIT
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 0
RSA
41%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RSA
1 - 2
ALD
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
RSA
26%
28%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 0
CSE
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 2
RAF
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
0 - 1
AND
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 2
RAF
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 4
BAN
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |