Dep. Quito vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CUE
0 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
DPT
0 - 1
QUI
36%
28%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
6 - 0
EME
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
3 - 2
SNL
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
OLM
0 - 1
QUI
39%
30%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CUE
4 - 3
MAC
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MAC
2 - 0
LIG
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 2
UCE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |