Quiché vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quiché
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 2
QUI
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
REU
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SPD
2 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
QUI
3 - 0
DEP
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
QUI
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 1
VEN
39%
24%
38%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
NUE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
31%
26%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
NUE
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NUE
5 - 0
SOL
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |