Copa Colombia . Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
JUN
25%
29%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PAS
3 - 2
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
JUN
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
MIL
19%
26%
56%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 2
PAS
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PAS
3 - 2
PER
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAS
2 - 0
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 3
PAS
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 0
PAS
28%
29%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |