CD Ocotal vs UNAN Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 1
DEP
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
DIR
1 - 1
DEP
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 2
MAN
23%
26%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 0
DEP
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 2
REA
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UNAN Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
UNA
1 - 3
MAN
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 2
UNA
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
UNA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
UNA
4 - 1
JAP
39%
24%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
UNA
72%
19%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |