Deportivo Municipal vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 1
MUN
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MUN
1 - 1
FCS
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 2
MUN
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 3
ALI
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UTC
4 - 3
MUN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
4 - 0
BIN
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 0
SAM
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
VAL
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAN
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |