Deportivo Merlo vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
MER
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
ALE
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
CAÑ
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MID
2 - 2
MER
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 3
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 4
VIC
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
0 - 1
CCO
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
VIC
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
VIC
5 - 0
VSC
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |