Deportivo Merlo vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
BUC
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
MER
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
INS
0 - 0
MER
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GIM
3 - 0
MER
39%
30%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 0
BAN
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
ALD
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 3
COL
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAN
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |