Dep. Maipú vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Maipú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
MAI
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 1
QUI
25%
30%
45%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AGR
1 - 1
MAI
54%
27%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
TEM
25%
28%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
MAI
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
TEM
33%
29%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
ALV
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 2
GIM
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
ALV
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
BEL
24%
29%
47%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |