Deportivo Lara vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
LAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 2
DEP
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ATL
30%
32%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |