Venezuelan Cup . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
La Guaira vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
ZUL
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 1
DEP
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 3
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
DEP
2 - 2
APC
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
5 - 1
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
ESC
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 2
ANG
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
MON
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |