Espoli vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAN
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 0
ESP
72%
17%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 0
CUE
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LIG
1 - 1
LOJ
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 0
GOD
50%
22%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIG
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
LIG
48%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |