Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/16
Global 6-1
Deportivo Cali vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
CAL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
QUI
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CAL
39%
25%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -3 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
STR
1 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 1
DEL
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |