Deportivo Fabril vs At. Arnoia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
4 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIV
1 - 0
DEP
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
NOI
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
SIL
1 - 2
DEP
40%
26%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
3 - 1
DEP
52%
24%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
ARN
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 3
OUR
19%
23%
59%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PON
3 - 1
ARN
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
SOF
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |