Dep. Armenio vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VSC
1 - 1
ARM
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
TEM
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
ARM
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ARM
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 0
BRO
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
COL
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |