Deportes Tolima vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ENV
2 - 2
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AME
4 - 1
CCP
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CCP
5 - 1
TAC
72%
18%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 1
LQE
71%
19%
9%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
CCP
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |