Deportes Tolima vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 3
HUI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 1
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
TOL
19%
26%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 2
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
IND
2 - 2
ALI
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
CUC
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
REA
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |