Atlético Fútbol Club vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
AFC
64%
23%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
RSC
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 2
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
BOG
30%
28%
43%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFC
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |