Dénia vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TER
1 - 3
DEN
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRA
1 - 0
DEN
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
DEN
3 - 2
PXD
56%
25%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
DEN
50%
27%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DEN
1 - 0
SAB
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
GAV
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
GAV
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TER
2 - 2
VAL
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 2
BAD
43%
28%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
IBI
1 - 1
VAL
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |