Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CON
4 - 1
DEN
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DEN
2 - 3
PRE
52%
21%
27%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
DEN
3 - 2
BAN
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
RTW
2 - 1
DEN
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DEN
1 - 3
FLI
72%
17%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 0
FLI
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
RHY
3 - 1
PEN
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUI
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 3
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PEN
0 - 2
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |