Denbigh Town vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 3
DEN
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
DEN
4 - 1
FLI
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 3
DEN
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 3
DEN
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 3
PEN
71%
16%
12%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 2
PRE
5%
11%
84%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 0
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
0 - 1
RTW
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |