Delta Porto Tolle vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 2
DEL
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SDA
3 - 1
DEL
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 2
CAR
39%
23%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 2
DEL
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MES
3 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |