Delta Porto Tolle vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 1
DEL
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NKK
0 - 6
DEL
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
DEL
2 - 1
TAM
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CLO
1 - 0
DEL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
GIO
63%
21%
17%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
CER
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CER
3 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
ACD
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |