Delfín vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
DEL
5 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
DEL
3 - 0
RIV
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
DEL
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
IVT
3 - 1
DEL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |