Primera A 1 Phase Fase 1. Jor. 8

Delfín vs CD El Nacional analysis

Delfín CD El Nacional
77 ELO 75
-4.2% Tilt 8%
402º General ELO ranking 396º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.5%
Delfín
26.9%
Draw
30.6%
CD El Nacional

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Delfín
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.6%
Win probability
CD El Nacional
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Delfín
-3%
-5%
CD El Nacional

Points and table prediction

Delfín
Their league position
CD El Nacional
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
16º
30
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Independiente del Valle
34
34
100%
CD El Nacional
30
30
100%
Liga de Quito
26
26
100%
Barcelona SC
26
26
100%
Aucas
24
24
0%
Delfín
24
24
0%
Universidad Católica
24
24
0%
Deportivo Cuenca
21
21
100%
Orense
21
21
100%
Técnico Universitario
10º
18
18
10º
0%
Gualaceo
11º
18
18
11º
0%
Cumbayá
12º
17
17
12º
100%
CS Emelec
13º
14
14
13º
100%
Libertad FC
14º
13
13
14º
0%
Mushuc Runa
15º
13
13
15º
0%
Guayaquil City
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Delfín
CD El Nacional
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Delfín
CD El Nacional
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Delfín
Delfín
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2023
RIV
Guayaquil City
2 - 1
Delfín
DEL
32%
26%
43%
77 71 6 0
16 Apr. 2023
DEL
Delfín
3 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
49%
26%
25%
76 71 5 +1
09 Apr. 2023
IVT
Independiente del Valle
3 - 0
Delfín
DEL
51%
24%
25%
76 80 4 0
02 Apr. 2023
DEL
Delfín
3 - 2
CS Emelec
EME
36%
27%
38%
76 80 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
DEL
Delfín
3 - 2
Libertad FC
CAL
56%
25%
19%
75 64 11 +1

Matches

CD El Nacional
CD El Nacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
NAC
CD El Nacional
4 - 2
Libertad FC
CAL
63%
22%
15%
75 65 10 0
17 Apr. 2023
EME
CS Emelec
1 - 2
CD El Nacional
NAC
55%
24%
21%
75 79 4 0
08 Apr. 2023
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 2
Universidad Católica
UCE
38%
25%
37%
75 80 5 0
02 Apr. 2023
CFC
Cumbayá
2 - 0
CD El Nacional
NAC
32%
29%
39%
75 68 7 0
19 Mar. 2023
NAC
CD El Nacional
0 - 2
Liga de Quito
LIG
39%
25%
36%
75 80 5 0
X