Def. Unidos vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 2
CAD
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAD
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 0
STM
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
5 - 1
CAD
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
SMG
0 - 0
ALM
29%
28%
44%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
SAC
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALM
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALB
19%
26%
55%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
STM
0 - 1
ALM
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |