Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
DPR
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 0
SLP
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
DPR
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DPR
4 - 1
DHA
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
DHA
2 - 1
DPR
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
SLP
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
DHA
4 - 2
GIM
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 2
LIB
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
GIM
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 3
DPR
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -2 |