Defensores Belgrano VR vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SLP
2 - 1
DFR
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DFR
0 - 0
JUU
39%
27%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MAI
0 - 1
DFR
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
DFR
1 - 3
TAL
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
TFE
2 - 2
DFR
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
UNI
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
9DJ
2 - 1
IND
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
GUT
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
TFE
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SLP
1 - 1
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |